Private mortgage lending is a lasting part of Ontario's mortgage market, not only a stopgap for rate shocks. This article collects what the Bank of Canada, CMHC, the Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Ontario (FSRA) and the federal government have published, and says plainly where we do not have a reliable figure. It makes no forecasts of its own.

The Current Backdrop

The Bank of Canada's policy interest rate is 2.25%. The Bank cut it to that level on October 29, 2025, and has held it at each announcement since, most recently on September 2, 2026. The next scheduled announcement is October 28, 2026.1 The Bank's Monetary Policy Report is the place to look for its own projections on growth and inflation; we do not repeat forecasts here.

On housing supply, CMHC reported 259,028 housing starts across Canada in 2025, up 5.6% from 2024 and the fifth-highest annual total on record. Starts in Toronto fell 31%.2

For a thorough overview of how private mortgages work, see our complete guide to private mortgages in Ontario.

The Private Market

FSRA, Ontario's mortgage regulator, publishes an annual report on private residential mortgage lending in Ontario, based on land registry data. We have not been able to read the current report directly, so we do not quote its market-share figures here. Check FSRA's website for the latest edition.3

Who Uses Private Mortgages?

Private lenders typically look closely at the property and the equity in it, which is why borrowers whose situation does not fit a bank's rules sometimes use them. Common situations include:

None of these is a reason to choose a private mortgage on its own. A licensed broker can compare options and explain the trade-offs for your situation.

What Private Financing Costs

Private mortgages generally cost more than bank mortgages, in both interest and fees, because the lender takes on more risk. We do not publish a private rate table here, because we have not found a published, dated survey that we can cite for private rates. Ask any lender for the rate, every fee and the total cost of borrowing in writing before you sign. For a breakdown of the kinds of charges that can apply, see our article on private mortgage fees in Ontario.

The arithmetic is simple even without a rate quote. Each additional percentage point of interest on a $300,000 mortgage is $3,000 of interest over a year, before fees. This is an illustration, not a quote. OAC. Rates subject to change. Conditions apply.

The Regulatory Environment

Two federal changes took effect on December 15, 2024, and both widen access to conventional financing:4

  1. 30-year amortizations became available to all first-time home buyers and to all buyers of new builds. A longer amortization lowers the monthly payment, which may help some borrowers qualify for a conventional mortgage.
  2. The price cap for insured mortgages rose from $1 million to $1.5 million.

Rules also change at renewal and on switches between lenders, and they differ by lender and by whether a mortgage is insured. We have not verified the current details from the regulator's own text, so ask your lender what applies to you.

In Ontario, mortgage brokerages that arrange mortgages must be licensed by FSRA, and you can check a brokerage's licence on FSRA's website.3 For help choosing one, see how to choose a mortgage broker in Ontario.

Plan the Exit Before You Start

Most private mortgages have short terms, so the question of what happens at maturity matters from day one. A sound exit plan names how the mortgage will be repaid or replaced (a refinance with a bank or other lender, a sale, or another source of funds), what has to happen first, and what the back-up is if the plan is delayed.

It also helps to be honest about the cost of staying in a private mortgage longer than planned: interest and renewal fees keep building. A broker can help you judge when a move to conventional financing could be realistic. Our article on the exit strategy from a private mortgage to a bank covers the steps.

What We Are Watching

We do not predict where rates, prices or the economy are heading. These are the published sources we check:

Frequently Asked Questions

Where can I find data on the size of the private mortgage market in Ontario?
FSRA publishes an annual report on private residential mortgage lending in Ontario, based on land registry data. Check FSRA's website for the latest edition.
How have recent federal mortgage rule changes affected private lending in Ontario?
Since December 15, 2024, 30-year amortizations have been available to all first-time home buyers and all buyers of new builds, and the price cap for insured mortgages rose from $1 million to $1.5 million (Department of Finance Canada). These changes may make conventional financing available to some borrowers who would otherwise look at private options. Borrowers with credit issues, complex income or urgent timelines may still find private financing a fit, and whether you qualify depends on the lender.
What is the biggest risk for private mortgage borrowers?
Private mortgages usually have shorter terms and higher costs than bank mortgages, so the biggest risk is reaching the end of the term without a way to repay or replace the loan. Having a realistic plan for how the mortgage will be repaid or replaced at the end of the term, and a back-up if that plan is delayed, is the best way to manage that risk.
Does a private mortgage cost more than a bank mortgage?
Private mortgages generally carry higher interest rates and fees than mortgages from banks, because the lender takes on more risk. As simple arithmetic, each extra percentage point of interest on a $300,000 mortgage is $3,000 of interest over a year, before any fees. Ask for the full cost of borrowing in writing before you commit. OAC. Rates subject to change. Conditions apply.

Need Private Financing or an Exit Plan?

We arrange private mortgages across Ontario and can help you plan an exit to conventional financing. Free consultation, no obligation.

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Disclaimer: This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial, legal, or mortgage advice. Individual circumstances vary, and all mortgage products are subject to lender approval (OAC). Figures are as published by the sources listed, as of the dates shown, and may change without notice. Good Home Capital Inc. (FSRA Mortgage Brokerage Licence #12596) is independently licensed and regulated by the Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Ontario. Consult a licensed mortgage professional before making financial decisions.
Sources
  1. Bank of Canada. Policy interest rate (history table, last entry September 2, 2026; read 2026-10-07)
  2. Canada Mortgage and Housing Corporation. Housing starts, December 2025 (released January 16, 2026)
  3. Financial Services Regulatory Authority of Ontario. Private lending announcements and annual reports
  4. Department of Finance Canada. Mortgage reforms come into force (December 2024)